criterion variable | Definition

Course: Statistics

A criterion variable is the outcome, result, or effect that researchers try to predict or explain in a study.

To understand the concept of a criterion variable, let’s take an example from criminal justice. Think about a study investigating factors that influence recidivism rates, which is when an individual reoffends after serving their sentence. In this study, the recidivism rate would be the criterion variable. The researchers are trying to predict this variable using other factors, such as education level, type of crime committed, and the support they have when they leave prison.

The Role of Criterion Variables

In social research, this concept holds immense importance. They help to answer the “what” of the research question. Researchers measure or observe criterion variables to determine the impact of the predictor variables. Predictor variables are the factors that researchers think might cause or influence the criterion variable. Both the criterion and predictor variables together form the basis of a hypothesis.

Social Work Example

To give you an example from the field of social work, let’s consider a study that explores the impact of therapy on the mental health of homeless individuals. Here, the mental health status after therapy would be the criterion variable. The predictor variables could be the type of therapy provided, frequency of therapy sessions, or other related factors.

Accordingly, the primary purpose of the researcher is to figure out if there’s a significant relationship between the predictor and the criterion variables. Both the predictor and the criterion variables are critical components of research, whether in social work, criminal justice, or political science.

Political Science Example

In political science, a criterion variable might be the level of public support for a specific policy. If a researcher is interested in exploring what influences public opinion on climate change policies, the public support for such policies becomes the criterion variable. The predictor variables could be the level of education, political affiliation, or awareness about climate change.

After all, the goal of research is to gain a deeper understanding of complex social issues. Criterion variables help in achieving that goal by giving us a tangible outcome to measure and explain. The relationships we discover between predictor and criterion variables can lead to policy changes and interventions that make a real-world difference.

In research, the term “criterion variable” is often interchanged with several other terms, depending on the context and the field. Here are a few common ones:

  1. Dependent Variable: This is probably the most frequently used term. The dependent variable is what researchers are interested in explaining, predicting, or affecting. It ‘depends’ on other variables.
  2. Outcome Variable: This term emphasizes that the variable in question is an outcome of interest. It’s often used in fields like public health, psychology, and medicine.
  3. Response Variable: In statistical modeling, the criterion variable is sometimes called the response variable. This term underscores the idea that this variable is responding to changes in other variables.
  4. Endogenous Variable: This is a term used more in economics and econometrics, suggesting the variable is explained within the system being studied.
  5. Explained Variable: This term is used to denote the variable that the model or research is attempting to explain.

Remember, these terms all refer to the same basic idea: a variable that researchers are trying to predict or explain based on other variables in their study. The specific term used can depend on the field of study, the specific context of the research, and the researcher’s personal preference.

Conclusion

All things considered, this concept are powerful tools in the world of social research. They allow us to explore, explain, and predict outcomes in various fields, from criminal justice and social work to political science. Whether we’re investigating recidivism rates, mental health statuses, or public support for policies, they help us make sense of the world around us.

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Last Modified: 06/11/2023

 

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